58%
Playoff odds
140
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (2nd in the Central), 1 point ahead of SEA. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Thursday, October 8 · 6:00 p.m. CT
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 61%OT loss → 58%Loss → 55%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Wild
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 3 | .933 | +4.0 |
| Calvin Pickard | 0 | — | — |
Lightning
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 3 | .898 | +0.8 |
| Dennis Hildeby | 0 | — | — |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Sabres
2–3OTLOT
Sabres beat the Wild 3–2 in overtime and earned it, out-chancing them 4.3–1.9 in expected goals and 15–5 in high-danger chances.
Top Wild ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 1 · @ NSH
3–1W
xG 3.3–1.8
Shot share 57%
Oct 3 · vs BOS
4–1W
xG 2.5–2.9
Shot share 50%
Oct 6 · @ BUF
2–3OTL
xG 1.9–4.3
Shot share 45%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Quinn Hughes (1.92)
1 A · 5 SOG
Kirill Kaprizov (1.76)
1 G · 3 SOG
Quinn Hughes (1.70)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Michael McCarron (1.65)
1 A · 4 SOG
Kirill Kaprizov (1.43)
2 G · 3 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
45.4%
25th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
50.4%
17th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
44.4%
24th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
99.3
19th/ 325v5 Sh% 6.9 · Sv% 92.5
Luck5 pts · deserved 3.15-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+4.0
3rd/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.00
14th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
1.67
2nd/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
26.67
16th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
25.00
11th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
36.4%
9th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
100.0%
1st/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
48.0%
22nd/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.933
5th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Special-teams merchants
with a streak of living dangerously
The power play and penalty kill are doing the heavy lifting.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Wild clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (61 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
33.3% this season · 16.5% career
50.0% this season · 7.5% career
50.0% this season · 8.9% career
Due
0.0% this season · 12.9% career
0.0% this season · 7.8% career
0.0% this season · 12.3% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Wild shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.7
21st/ 32Distance skated
137.6 mi
20th/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
0
23rd/ 32Offensive-zone time
43.2%
8th/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
39.2%
12th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending