46%
Playoff odds
56
Points pace
Outside the playoff spots, 2 points behind TOR. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Thursday, October 8 · 7:30 p.m. ET
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 48%OT loss → 45%Loss → 42%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Islanders
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 2 | .968 | +4.3 |
| Semyon Varlamov | 1 | .864 | +1.0 |
Islanders
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 3 | .891 | +0.9 |
| Arvid Soderblom | 1 | .813 | -2.3 |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Rangers
2–5L
Rangers beat the Islanders 5–2 and earned it, out-chancing them 4.0–2.2 in expected goals and 11–8 in high-danger chances.
Top Islanders ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Sep 30 · @ TOR
1–2L
xG 3.0–2.4
Shot share 59%
Oct 3 · vs NJD
6–0W
xG 3.7–3.9
Shot share 37%
Oct 6 · @ NYR
2–5L
xG 2.2–4.0
Shot share 47%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Ilya Sorokin (2.92)
+3.9 goals saved above expected
Casey Cizikas (1.97)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Matthew Schaefer (1.90)
2 A · 2 SOG
Brayden Schenn (1.71)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Simon Holmstrom (1.67)
1 G · 1 A · 1 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
46.7%
22nd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
46.8%
20th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
45.8%
22nd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
103.7
9th/ 325v5 Sh% 8.5 · Sv% 95.2
Luck2 pts · deserved 2.95-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+5.2
2nd/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.00
14th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.33
6th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
26.00
19th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
29.00
22nd/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
18.2%
20th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
83.3%
14th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
49.1%
20th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.941
1st/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Goalie carrying them
Their goaltending is stopping far more than an average goalie would behind a defence that gives up a lot.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Islanders clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (61 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
50.0% this season · 13.4% career
20.0% this season · 13.4% career
50.0% this season · 19.5% career
Due
0.0% this season · 12.4% career
0.0% this season · 10.4% career
0.0% this season · 13.9% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Islanders shooter, with career chartsPuck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
1.3
6th/ 32Distance skated
135.2 mi
25th/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
3
4th/ 32Offensive-zone time
39.4%
21st/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
43.1%
24th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending