58%
Playoff odds
126
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (1st in the Atlantic), 2 points ahead of BOS. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Minnesota Wild
Saturday, October 10 · 6:00 p.m. ET
Playoff odds after Saturday's gameWin → 61%OT loss → 57%Loss → 55%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Panthers
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 3 | .929 | +2.5 |
| Akira Schmid | 1 | .875 | -0.6 |
Panthers
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 3 | .933 | +4.0 |
| Calvin Pickard | 0 | — | — |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Kings
2–1W
Panthers beat the Kings 2–1 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.0–1.8 in expected goals and 13–5 in high-danger chances.
Top Panthers ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Sep 29 · @ CAR
1–0W
xG 2.0–2.3
Shot share 64%
Oct 1 · @ SJS
3–4OTL
xG 4.0–3.4
Shot share 54%
Oct 4 · @ ANA
2–3OTL
xG 3.4–2.4
Shot share 61%
Oct 6 · @ LAK
2–1W
xG 3.0–1.8
Shot share 61%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Eetu Luostarinen (2.23)
2 G · 3 SOG
Jacob Markstrom (1.71)
+2.3 goals saved above expected
Lars Eller (1.41)
1 A · 2 SOG
Lars Eller (1.38)
1 A · 0 SOG
Matthew Tkachuk (1.30)
1 G · 2 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 4 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
67.3%
1st/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
59.3%
4th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
67.6%
3rd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
103.3
11th/ 325v5 Sh% 7.7 · Sv% 95.7
Luck6 pts · deserved 5.75-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+1.9
10th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
2.00
28th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.00
3rd/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
26.25
18th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
22.00
6th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
4.3%
27th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
78.9%
16th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
50.2%
17th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.909
11th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 4 games so far
Shutdown
with a streak of puck hogs
They win by giving up almost nothing, not by creating a lot.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
1 OT winner · 7th in the NHL
1 late equalizer · 18th in the NHL
1 clutch assist · 22nd in the NHL
2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
33.3% this season · 10.7% career
28.6% this season · 12.8% career
25.0% this season · 5.4% career
Due
0.0% this season · 16.0% career
0.0% this season · 9.7% career
0.0% this season · 10.6% career
Only 4 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Panthers shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.3
31st/ 32Distance skated
189.6 mi
2nd/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
1
18th/ 32Offensive-zone time
44.1%
4th/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
37.5%
5th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending