54%
Playoff odds
112
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (2nd in the Atlantic), 0 points ahead of BOS. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Thursday, October 8 · 7:00 p.m. ET TSN5, RDSI
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 57%OT loss → 53%Loss → 50%
First of 3 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Senators
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 2 | .949 | +2.8 |
| Samuel Ersson | 2 | .886 | -0.8 |
| Jonas Johansson | 0 | — | — |
Senators
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 2 | .863 | -1.8 |
| Joseph Woll | 2 | .929 | +2.9 |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Red Wings
3–5L
Red Wings beat the Senators 5–3 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.4–2.9 in expected goals and 12–6 in high-danger chances.
Top Senators ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 3 · @ TOR
3–2W
xG 4.8–3.2
Shot share 39%
Oct 5 · @ BOS
4–1W
xG 2.4–2.3
Shot share 56%
Oct 6 · @ DET
3–5L
xG 2.9–3.4
Shot share 45%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Tim Stützle (2.82)
2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG
Thomas Chabot (2.40)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
Michael Amadio (2.10)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
William Eklund (2.02)
1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG
Tim Stützle (1.63)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
48.1%
19th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
46.5%
21st/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
47.8%
20th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
106.3
4th/ 325v5 Sh% 14.3 · Sv% 92.1
Luck4 pts · deserved 3.65-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+2.0
9th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.33
11th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.67
12th/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
26.00
19th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
28.00
18th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
7.7%
25th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
76.9%
18th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
52.7%
9th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.916
9th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Middle of the pack
Nothing about their game stands far out from the rest of the league, good or bad.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
No Senators clutch points yet this season. The first late equalizer or OT winner will show up here.
See the league's clutch leaders (61 players)2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
42.9% this season · 14.0% career
66.7% this season · 12.8% career
33.3% this season · 13.9% career
Due
0.0% this season · 13.0% career
0.0% this season · 10.7% career
0.0% this season · 11.4% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Senators shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.0
32nd/ 32Distance skated
136.1 mi
24th/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
4
2nd/ 32Offensive-zone time
41.4%
16th/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
40.7%
16th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending