56%
Playoff odds
112
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (Wild card 1), 0 points ahead of BOS. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Dallas Stars
Thursday, October 8 · 7:00 p.m. ET
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 59%OT loss → 55%Loss → 52%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Sabres
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 2 | .784 | -3.2 |
| Colten Ellis | 1 | .900 | -0.1 |
| Alex Lyon | 0 | — | — |
Sabres
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 2 | .943 | +2.2 |
| Casey DeSmith | 1 | .923 | +0.3 |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Sabres
2–3OTLOT
Sabres beat the Wild 3–2 in overtime and earned it, out-chancing them 4.3–1.9 in expected goals and 15–5 in high-danger chances.
Top Sabres ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 1 · @ CBJ
3–6L
xG 2.8–2.2
Shot share 58%
Oct 3 · vs CHI
4–3W
xG 4.5–2.6
Shot share 64%
Oct 6 · vs MIN
3–2W
xG 4.3–1.9
Shot share 55%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Owen Power (2.45)
1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG
Jack Quinn (2.18)
1 G · 5 SOG
Noah Ostlund (2.08)
2 A · 3 SOG
Tage Thompson (1.92)
1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG
Jack Quinn (1.85)
1 G · 4 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
62.7%
2nd/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
59.4%
3rd/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
65.9%
4th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
94.8
27th/ 325v5 Sh% 11.1 · Sv% 83.7
Luck4 pts · deserved 4.65-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
-3.4
26th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
3.33
11th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
3.67
23rd/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
27.33
13th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
19.33
1st/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
0.0%
28th/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
66.7%
26th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
50.6%
14th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.825
29th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 3 games so far
Built for the playoffs
with a streak of puck hogs
Good at both ends at 5 on 5: they create plenty and give up little, the kind of team that travels well in April.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
1 OT winner, 1 clutch assist · 1st in the NHL
1 late go-ahead goal, 1 clutch assist · 2nd in the NHL
2 clutch assists · 18th in the NHL
2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
33.3% this season · 5.3% career
25.0% this season · 6.0% career
18.2% this season · 11.8% career
Due
0.0% this season · 13.2% career
0.0% this season · 10.2% career
0.0% this season · 18.2% career
Only 3 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Sabres shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
1.0
12th/ 32Distance skated
143.0 mi
12th/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
2
12th/ 32Offensive-zone time
44.0%
6th/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
37.2%
4th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending