66%
Playoff odds
126
Points pace
Holding a playoff spot (1st in the Central), 2 points ahead of SEA. The magic number appears at the season's midpoint.
Odds and magic number are estimates. Odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season; this early they move a lot from game to game. Playoff race
Next game
@ Boston Bruins
Thursday, October 8 · 5:00 p.m. MT
Playoff odds after Thursday's gameWin → 69%OT loss → 66%Loss → 63%
First of 2 meetings
2026-27 · shares are 5-on-5 · pace = 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 by both teams, 1st = fastest · speed bursts = times any player tops 20 mph, per game (NHL EDGE, ranked per game by us)
Expected goals share
Shot share
High-danger chance share
Goals for per game
Goals against per game
Power play
Penalty kill
Pace of play
Speed bursts per game
Offensive-zone time
Longer bar = better league rank, so every row reads the same way (for goals against, fewer is better).
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, over each club's last 10 (the same line as the season trend) · above 50% = controlling play
Shaded areas are where each team creates or allows more dangerous chances than an average NHL team, 2026-27. Darker = further above average; blank = average or below. Net at the top.
2026-27 numbers for every goalie on both rosters. Starters aren't announced until game day.
Mammoth
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 3 | .913 | +1.7 |
| Sebastian Cossa | 1 | .944 | +1.5 |
Bruins
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 3 | .914 | +1.7 |
| Michael DiPietro | 1 | .897 | -0.5 |
Tue, Oct 6 · @ Devils
5–3W
Mammoth beat the Devils 5–3 and earned it, out-chancing them 3.9–2.9 in expected goals and 16–11 in high-danger chances.
Top Mammoth ratings
Last 10 games, oldest first
Oct 1 · vs CHI
6–0W
xG 3.7–1.7
Shot share 61%
Oct 3 · @ CBJ
4–1W
xG 2.7–2.5
Shot share 55%
Oct 4 · @ NYR
2–4L
xG 3.8–3.1
Shot share 59%
Oct 6 · @ NJD
5–3W
xG 3.9–2.9
Shot share 48%
5-on-5 expected-goals share, rolling 5 games, 2026-27 · above 50% = controlling play
Best single-game ratings out of 10 · Game Score in brackets · How ratings work
Dylan Guenther (2.92)
1 G · 2 A · 5 SOG
Nick Schmaltz (2.50)
1 G · 2 A · 4 SOG
Clayton Keller (2.25)
2 A · 4 SOG
Dylan Guenther (2.23)
2 G · 5 SOG
Nick Schmaltz (2.01)
2 G · 8 SOG
2026-27 · league rank · arrows compare the last 10 games with the season
Only 4 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Expected goals share (xGF%)
55.5%
11th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 expected goals, which weights every shot by its chance of going in. The best single measure of who's controlling play.
Shot share (CF%)
56.0%
11th/ 32Share of all 5-on-5 shot attempts, including blocked and missed. Over 50% means you have the puck more.
High-danger chance share
56.9%
7th/ 32Share of 5-on-5 chances from the area right in front of the net, plus rebounds from the slot.
PDO (luck gauge)
100.7
16th/ 325v5 Sh% 9.4 · Sv% 91.3
Luck6 pts · deserved 5.65-on-5 shooting % plus save %. Around 100 is normal; well above usually means hot shooting or goaltending that won't last.
Goaltending: goals saved above expected
+3.2
5th/ 32Goals the team's goalies stopped beyond what an average goalie would, given the shots they faced. Above zero is good.
Goals for per game
4.25
5th/ 32Average goals scored per game, all situations.
Goals against per game
2.00
3rd/ 32Average goals allowed per game. Lower is better.
Shots for per game
31.00
6th/ 32Shots on goal per game.
Shots against per game
22.00
6th/ 32Shots on goal allowed per game. Lower is better.
Power play
61.5%
1st/ 32Share of power plays that produce a goal.
Penalty kill
92.9%
4th/ 32Share of opponent power plays killed without a goal.
Faceoffs
53.0%
8th/ 32Share of faceoffs won.
Save percentage
.920
6th/ 32Share of shots on goal the team's goalies stopped, all situations. Empty-net goals don't count against it.
Based on 4 games so far
Special-teams merchants
The power play and penalty kill are doing the heavy lifting.
2026-27
2026-27 · goals · shots on goal
2026-27 · assists · points
2026-27 · average rating out of 10, skaters with 2+ games · What's this?
2026-27 · individual xG · goals · high-danger chances
2026-27 · save % · goals saved above expected
2026-27 · late tying and go-ahead goals, OT winners · What's this?
1 insurance goal · 45th in the NHL
1 clutch assist · 52nd in the NHL
1 clutch assist · 58th in the NHL
2026-27 shooting % against each player's NHL career · goals above or below his career rate · What's this?
Running hot
29.4% this season · 14.0% career
20.0% this season · 4.1% career
16.7% this season · 5.1% career
Due
0.0% this season · 10.2% career
0.0% this season · 12.6% career
9.1% this season · 12.4% career
Only 4 games into the season, so these numbers will move a lot.
Every Mammoth shooter, with career chartsActive runs, regular season: point streaks of 3+ games and goal streaks of 2+; droughts among players with 10+ games.
On a roll
Droughts
Puck and player tracking, this season · league rank · tap a tile marked “See every player” for the whole roster
Speed bursts over 22 mph, per game
0.5
26th/ 32Distance skated
179.9 mi
9th/ 32League avg 148.0 mi
Shots over 90 mph
3
4th/ 32Offensive-zone time
43.6%
7th/ 32League avg 40.4%
Defensive-zone time
38.7%
9th/ 32Lower is better; rank 1 = least time defending