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Final

BUF at DET game report

Sabres
2–3
Red Wings

Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Little Caesars Arena

Red Wings beat the Sabres 3–2 in overtime and earned it, out-chancing them 3.4–2.8 in expected goals.

Team comparison

DETBUF
  • 3Goals2
  • 3.43Expected goals2.77
  • 1.935-on-5 expected goals1.52
  • 11High-danger chances12
  • 26Shots on goal19
  • 63Shot attempts46
  • 455-on-5 shot attempts29
  • 7:28Power-play time9:32

5-on-5 shares for DET: 60.8% of shot attempts, 55.8% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

Red WingsSabresCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Sabres shooting ←→ Red Wings shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Matthew Peca: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 11:35)Lucas Raymond: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 8:46)Justin Danforth: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 10:04)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 16:21)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 10:15)Ryan Johnson: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 19:20)Sheldon Dries: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 16:44)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 3:42)Ryan Johnson: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 5:48)Anton Johansson: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 11:49)Mason Appleton: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 14:00)John Leonard: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 12:37)Moritz Seider: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 1:46)Zach Metsa: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 1:27)Anton Johansson: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 8:58)Wilmer Skoog: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 10:52)Sheldon Dries: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 12:33)Radim Mrtka: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 14:48)Emmitt Finnie: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 11:52)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 0:08)Anton Johansson: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 11:54)Trevor Kuntar: shot on goal, 0.03 xG, high danger (P1 7:17)Nate Danielson: missed, 0.03 xG, high danger (P3 12:41)Jason Polin: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 17:16)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 15:35)Thomas Bordeleau: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 5:00)Jason Polin: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 2:51)Moritz Seider: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 3:27)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 3:57)Alex DeBrincat: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 3:36)Thomas Bordeleau: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 11:02)Sheldon Dries: goal, 0.05 xG (P3 7:13)Carter Mazur: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 12:50)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 19:58)Jason Polin: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 11:01)Jiri Kulich: goal, 0.06 xG (P2 0:33)Konsta Helenius: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 8:19)Ryan Johnson: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 19:31)Lucas Raymond: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 16:52)Liam Valente: missed, 0.07 xG, high danger (P2 11:40)Thomas Bordeleau: missed, 0.07 xG (P3 2:16)Trevor Kuntar: missed, 0.08 xG (P2 3:55)William Wallinder: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 12:11)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 0:43)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (POT 0:26)Konsta Helenius: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P3 16:09)Moritz Seider: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P3 19:00)Tyson Kozak: missed, 0.09 xG, high danger (P3 2:52)Thomas Bordeleau: missed, 0.09 xG (P3 16:29)Andrew Copp: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 2:59)Jiri Kulich: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 5:39)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P1 15:59)Aidan McDonough: missed, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 7:13)Noah Ostlund: missed, 0.09 xG (P3 1:32)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 17:03)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: goal, 0.10 xG (P1 16:11)Nate Danielson: missed, 0.10 xG (P3 19:47)Justin Danforth: missed, 0.10 xG (P3 1:12)Alex DeBrincat: goal, 0.11 xG (POT 0:33)Nate Danielson: missed, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 16:01)Jacob Bernard-Docker: missed, 0.12 xG (P3 18:39)Tyson Kozak: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P3 10:40)Aidan McDonough: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P1 7:12)Jason Polin: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P2 8:22)Noah Ostlund: shot on goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P2 7:25)Dominik Shine: shot on goal, 0.17 xG, high danger (P1 2:26)Trevor Kuntar: goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P1 10:48)Emmitt Finnie: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P3 11:31)Noah Ostlund: missed, 0.18 xG, high danger (P2 7:27)Justin Danforth: shot on goal, 0.19 xG, high danger (P2 8:59)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: missed, 0.20 xG (P3 6:44)Lucas Raymond: missed, 0.21 xG, high danger (P3 5:38)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.21 xG, high danger (P1 16:00)Mason Appleton: missed, 0.23 xG, high danger (P2 4:47)Lucas Raymond: shot on goal, 0.23 xG, high danger (P2 13:19)Dominik Shine: shot on goal, 0.28 xG, high danger (P1 2:27)Justin Danforth: missed, 0.33 xG, high danger (P2 14:36)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from DET's point of view
DET at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 541:4045–291.93–1.521–2
Power play7:2815–161.38–1.232–0
Shorthanded9:322–00.00–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)1:531–10.12–0.020–0

Read pairs as DET–BUF. “Power play” means DET had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Alex Lyon BUF7/8.8751.19+0.19
Daniil Tarasov DET17/19.8952.77+0.77
Colten Ellis BUF16/18.8892.25+0.25

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Most dangerous shooters

Players ranked by individual expected goals
PlayerGSOGAttHDixG
Alex DeBrincat DET181110.66
Justin Danforth BUF02520.63
Lucas Raymond DET02620.51
Dominik Shine DET02220.45
Noah Ostlund BUF01420.42
Axel Sandin-Pellikka DET11300.33
Trevor Kuntar BUF12420.28
Jason Polin BUF03510.27
Nate Danielson DET00320.25
Thomas Bordeleau BUF02400.24

Three stars

  1. ★A. DeBrincatDET · 1G 0A
  2. ★★S. DriesDET · 1G 0A
  3. ★★★J.KulichBUF · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 10:48BUF T. Kuntar (from J. Richard)1–0
  • 16:11DET A. Sandin-Pellikka pp (from A. Johansson, E. Finnie)1–1

Period 2

  • 00:33BUF J.Kulich (from N. Ostlund, R. Mrtka)2–1

Period 3

  • 07:13DET S. Dries (from J. Bryson, W. Skoog)2–2

Overtime

  • 00:33DET A. DeBrincat pp (from L. Raymond, M. Seider)2–3