Final
NYI at TOR game report
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 · 7:30 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs beat the Islanders 2–1 despite being out-chanced 3.0–2.4 in expected goals. Anthony Stolarz saved 2.0 goals more than expected.
Team comparison
- 2Goals1
- 2.37Expected goals2.99
- 1.375-on-5 expected goals1.81
- 10High-danger chances10
- 26Shots on goal27
- 48Shot attempts68
- 335-on-5 shot attempts47
- 8:19Power-play time9:01
5-on-5 shares for TOR: 41.3% of shot attempts, 43.1% of expected goals.
Expected goals leave out shots at an empty net (TOR 0.23, NYI 0.00); they're in the “Other” row of By strength.
Expected goals through the game
Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish. Shots at an empty net add no step.
Shot map
By strength
| TOR at… | Time | Attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 on 5 | 40:36 | 33–47 | 1.37–1.81 | 1–0 |
| Power play | 8:19 | 12–12 | 0.76–0.70 | 1–0 |
| Shorthanded | 9:01 | 0–2 | 0.00–0.24 | 0–1 |
| Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net) | 2:04 | 3–7 | 0.47–0.25 | 0–0 |
Read pairs as TOR–NYI. “Power play” means TOR had the extra skater.
Goaltending
| Goalie | Saves | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz TOR | 26/27 | .963 | 2.99 | +1.99 |
| Ilya Sorokin NYI | 24/26 | .923 | 2.37 | +0.37 |
GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.
Player ratings
Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work
Average ratingMaple Leafs5.8Islanders5.9
| ★Top three of the night: Easton CowanFTOR | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13:23 | 59.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Top three of the night: Anthony StolarzGTOR | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 58:22 | — |
| ★Top three of the night: Bo HorvatFNYI | 7.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22:31 | 63.0 |
| Colton SissonsFTOR | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:22 | 55.6 |
| Nick PaulFTOR | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15:43 | 65.0 |
| Jack RoslovicFTOR | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:53 | 71.4 |
| Matthew SchaeferDNYI | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:45 | 79.4 |
| Emil HeinemanFNYI | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 58.8 |
| Kyle PalmieriFNYI | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:35 | 65.4 |
| Adam PelechDNYI | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 76.0 |
| Calum RitchieFNYI | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:03 | 66.7 |
| Anthony DuclairFNYI | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:17 | 59.1 |
| Morgan RiellyDTOR | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:49 | 44.8 |
| Oliver Ekman-LarssonDTOR | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 | 56.0 |
| Ilya SorokinGNYI | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | — | 57:56 | — |
| Casey CizikasFNYI | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 63.2 |
| Auston MatthewsFTOR | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:04 | 61.1 |
| Simon HolmstromFNYI | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 61.3 |
| Tony DeAngeloDNYI | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 | 61.5 |
| Ondrej PalatFNYI | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:06 | 58.8 |
| Troy StecherDTOR | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 52.6 |
| Darren RaddyshDTOR | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:36 | 45.2 |
| Matias MaccelliFNYI | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 | 66.7 |
| Kirill MarchenkoFTOR | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:16 | 52.4 |
| Bo GroulxFTOR | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 41.2 |
| Logan StanleyDNYI | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 55.6 |
| Alexander RomanovDNYI | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 37.0 |
| Victor EklundFNYI | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:58 | 52.9 |
| Brayden SchennFNYI | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 46.2 |
| Brandon DuhaimeFTOR | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 20.0 |
| Jean-Gabriel PageauFNYI | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 41.2 |
| Teddy BluegerFTOR | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 21.4 |
| Ryan PulockDNYI | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 28.6 |
| Jake McCabeDTOR | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 29.6 |
| Gavin McKennaFTOR | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 26.9 |
| John TavaresFTOR | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 24.0 |
| Chris TanevDTOR | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 | 24.1 |
| William NylanderFTOR | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 16.0 |
Lines used
Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against
Maple Leafs
Forward lines
- Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko9:13 · 10–3 · xG 0.5–0.1
- Tavares – Nylander – McKenna8:25 · 3–19 · xG 0.1–1.0
- Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx6:35 · 3–10 · xG 0.1–0.1
- Sissons – Paul – Cowan5:54 · 10–6 · xG 0.4–0.2
Defence pairs
- Rielly – Raddysh13:28 · 11–14 · xG 0.3–0.5
- Tanev – McCabe12:18 · 7–18 · xG 0.2–0.5
- Ekman-Larsson – Stecher8:48 · 10–6 · xG 0.6–0.2
Islanders
Forward lines
- Palmieri – Horvat – Holmstrom7:16 · 15–7 · xG 0.3–0.3
- Schenn – Maccelli – Ritchie5:00 · 4–1 · xG 0.0–0.0
- Pageau – Heineman – Eklund4:50 · 3–5 · xG 0.1–0.3
- Cizikas – Palat – Duclair4:30 · 7–3 · xG 0.4–0.1
Defence pairs
- Pelech – Schaefer10:11 · 13–4 · xG 0.3–0.2
- Pulock – Romanov9:29 · 4–14 · xG 0.3–0.4
- DeAngelo – Stanley5:28 · 5–8 · xG 0.1–0.3
Three stars
- ★A. StolarzTOR · .963 SV%
- ★★E. CowanTOR · 1G 1A
- ★★★C. SissonsTOR · 1G 0A
Scoring
Period 1
- 07:14TOR C. Sissons (from N. Paul, E. Cowan)0–1
- 11:55TOR E. Cowan pp (from J. Roslovic, M. Rielly)0–2
Period 3
- 14:09NYI E. Heineman sh (from B. Horvat)1–2