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Final

BUF at CBJ game report

Sabres
3–6
Blue Jackets

Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Nationwide Arena

Blue Jackets beat the Sabres 6–3 despite being out-chanced 2.8–2.2 in expected goals and 7–6 in high-danger chances. Finishing made the difference.

Team comparison

CBJBUF
  • 6Goals3
  • 2.22Expected goals2.84
  • 1.445-on-5 expected goals1.72
  • 6High-danger chances7
  • 23Shots on goal26
  • 39Shot attempts56
  • 295-on-5 shot attempts40
  • 2:53Power-play time6:54

5-on-5 shares for CBJ: 42.0% of shot attempts, 45.6% of expected goals.

Expected goals leave out shots at an empty net (CBJ 0.55, BUF 0.00); they're in the “Other” row of By strength.

Expected goals through the game

Blue JacketsSabresCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish. Shots at an empty net add no step.

Shot map

Sabres shooting ←→ Blue Jackets shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Jack Quinn: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 0:54)Sam Carrick: missed, 0.00 xG (P1 2:08)Carson Soucy: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 0:29)Kent Johnson: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 12:30)Beck Malenstyn: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 8:40)Zach Benson: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 5:13)Denton Mateychuk: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 16:06)Erik Gudbranson: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 0:56)Louis Crevier: shot on goal, 0.02 xG, high danger (P2 14:26)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 19:26)Zach Werenski: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 8:27)Zach Benson: missed, 0.02 xG (P3 4:00)Zach Werenski: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 12:25)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 15:08)Josh Doan: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 17:30)Noah Ostlund: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 18:57)Jake Christiansen: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 4:56)Denton Mateychuk: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 6:54)Cole Sillinger: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 18:37)Zach Werenski: missed, 0.04 xG (P2 8:05)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 14:08)Carson Soucy: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 2:54)Danton Heinen: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 11:44)Cole Sillinger: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 6:21)Ryan Lomberg: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 11:35)Zach Werenski: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 13:12)Mathieu Olivier: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 12:18)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 5:03)Adam Fantilli: goal, 0.06 xG (P1 18:44)Noah Ostlund: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P2 1:14)Cole Sillinger: missed, 0.06 xG (P1 0:24)Jack Quinn: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 12:41)Zach Benson: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 11:37)Tage Thompson: missed, 0.06 xG, high danger (P3 0:09)Jack Quinn: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 12:34)Josh Doan: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P3 8:51)Jack Quinn: missed, 0.06 xG (P2 5:30)Jiri Kulich: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P1 0:38)Konsta Helenius: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 13:05)Peyton Krebs: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 10:16)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 14:24)Tage Thompson: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 4:44)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 4:38)Konsta Helenius: goal, 0.08 xG (P2 13:14)Matthew Knies: goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P2 7:45)Zach Benson: missed, 0.08 xG (P1 15:32)Adam Fantilli: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P1 6:52)Jack Quinn: goal, 0.09 xG (P2 1:25)Conor Garland: missed, 0.09 xG (P1 9:53)Mattias Samuelsson: goal, 0.09 xG (P1 7:21)Danton Heinen: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 18:27)Josh Norris: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P3 12:41)Jack Quinn: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 5:39)Josh Doan: missed, 0.09 xG (P2 17:24)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P2 15:35)Tage Thompson: missed, 0.10 xG (P1 0:16)Noah Ostlund: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P3 7:20)Cole Sillinger: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P1 16:00)Danton Heinen: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P2 14:16)Matthew Knies: shot on goal, 0.13 xG, high danger (P1 17:18)Zach Benson: missed, 0.14 xG, high danger (P2 11:45)Noah Ostlund: shot on goal, 0.14 xG (P3 10:05)Cole Sillinger: goal, 0.15 xG (P1 12:51)Matthew Knies: shot on goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 11:25)Mathieu Olivier: shot on goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 5:26)Jack Quinn: missed, 0.18 xG, high danger (P3 11:05)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P2 14:30)Josh Doan: shot on goal, 0.19 xG, high danger (P1 1:56)Matthew Knies: goal, 0.22 xG (P1 17:58)Sean Monahan: goal, 0.23 xG, high danger (P3 14:21)Mathieu Olivier: goal, 0.55 xG (P3 17:53)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from CBJ's point of view
CBJ at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 546:5829–401.44–1.723–2
Power play2:537–140.65–0.942–0
Shorthanded6:541–10.05–0.090–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)3:152–10.64–0.091–1

Read pairs as CBJ–BUF. “Power play” means CBJ had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Jet Greaves CBJ23/26.8852.84-0.16
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF17/22.7732.22-2.78

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingBlue Jackets6.2Sabres6.1

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Matthew KniesFCBJ8.521416:0639.1
★Top three of the night: Charlie CoyleFCBJ8.203019:0440.0
★Top three of the night: Noah OstlundFBUF8.202316:4271.4
Jack QuinnFBUF7.910420:4675.0
Owen PowerDBUF7.902025:2559.4
Zach WerenskiDCBJ7.302328:4637.1
Zach BensonFBUF7.201118:3471.4
Adam FantilliFCBJ7.010217:2846.2
Mathieu OlivierFCBJ6.610314:3242.9
Josh NorrisFBUF6.500116:1969.6
Cole SillingerFCBJ6.510315:2145.5
Konsta HeleniusFBUF6.510215:0931.3
Sean MonahanFCBJ6.410115:3128.6
Josh DoanFBUF6.400319:0668.0
Tage ThompsonFBUF6.300419:4670.8
Denton MateychukDCBJ6.301227:2846.7
Ryan McLeodFBUF6.201016:4133.3
Dmitri VoronkovFCBJ6.101010:4440.0
Emil AndraeDCBJ6.101015:3733.3
Rasmus DahlinDBUF6.100425:5860.0
Valeri NichushkinFCBJ6.101015:4522.2
Louis CrevierDBUF6.000116:1460.9
Mattias SamuelssonDBUF5.910118:2153.8
Kent JohnsonFCBJ5.801114:5341.7
Zach MetsaDBUF5.700012:5461.5
Danton HeinenFCBJ5.700212:1147.1
Jet GreavesGCBJ5.700—60:00—
Jake ChristiansenDCBJ5.50007:0558.3
Erik GudbransonDCBJ5.400017:4447.4
Ryan LombergFCBJ5.20009:2150.0
Carson SoucyDCBJ5.000220:1538.9
Conor GarlandFCBJ5.000012:0942.1
Matt GrzelcykDBUF5.000014:2746.2
Beck MalenstynFBUF4.90018:1142.9
Jiri KulichFBUF4.90018:4550.0
Peyton KrebsFBUF4.800014:5829.4
Sam CarrickFBUF4.70007:4337.5
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenGBUF4.500—59:08—

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Blue Jackets

Forward lines

  • Coyle – Olivier – Sillinger10:26 · 8–10 · xG 0.6–0.7
  • Johnson – Knies – Fantilli10:17 · 8–13 · xG 0.3–0.4
  • Monahan – Nichushkin – Voronkov6:45 · 0–1 · xG 0.0–0.1
  • Heinen – Garland – Lomberg6:28 · 6–6 · xG 0.2–0.3

Defence pairs

  • Werenski – Mateychuk14:57 · 11–13 · xG 0.6–0.8
  • Soucy – Andrae8:45 · 3–5 · xG 0.1–0.1
  • Gudbranson – Christiansen5:44 · 6–5 · xG 0.1–0.2

Sabres

Forward lines

  • Quinn – Ostlund – Benson11:13 · 13–5 · xG 0.5–0.2
  • Thompson – Norris – Doan10:19 · 15–6 · xG 0.8–0.3
  • McLeod – Krebs – Helenius9:57 · 3–11 · xG 0.1–0.6
  • Carrick – Malenstyn – Kulich6:00 · 3–4 · xG 0.1–0.2

Defence pairs

  • Samuelsson – Dahlin13:03 · 13–9 · xG 0.6–0.6
  • Crevier – Power10:19 · 12–7 · xG 0.7–0.2
  • Grzelcyk – Metsa8:12 · 5–4 · xG 0.1–0.1

Three stars

  1. ★M. KniesCBJ · 2G 1A
  2. ★★Z. WerenskiCBJ · 0G 2A
  3. ★★★C. CoyleCBJ · 0G 3A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 07:21BUF M. Samuelsson (from N. Ostlund, O. Power)1–0
  • 12:51CBJ C. Sillinger (from C. Coyle, D. Mateychuk)1–1
  • 17:58CBJ M. Knies pp (from C. Coyle, Z. Werenski)1–2
  • 18:44CBJ A. Fantilli (from Z. Werenski, M. Knies)1–3

Period 2

  • 01:25BUF J. Quinn (from Z. Benson, N. Ostlund)2–3
  • 07:45CBJ M. Knies (from E. Andrae, K. Johnson)2–4
  • 13:14BUF K. Helenius (from R. McLeod, O. Power)3–4

Period 3

  • 14:21CBJ S. Monahan pp (from V. Nichushkin, D. Voronkov)3–5
  • 17:53CBJ M. Olivier (from C. Coyle)3–6