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Final

WPG at DET game report

Jets
3–2
Red Wings

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 p.m. ET · Little Caesars Arena

Jets beat the Red Wings 3–2 despite being out-chanced 4.1–2.8 in expected goals and 19–13 in high-danger chances. Stuart Skinner saved 2.1 goals more than expected.

Team comparison

DETWPG
  • 2Goals3
  • 4.13Expected goals2.77
  • 2.525-on-5 expected goals1.67
  • 19High-danger chances13
  • 36Shots on goal27
  • 78Shot attempts53
  • 535-on-5 shot attempts33
  • 9:42Power-play time5:08

5-on-5 shares for DET: 61.6% of shot attempts, 60.2% of expected goals.

Expected goals leave out shots at an empty net (DET 0.00, WPG 0.60); they're in the “Other” row of By strength.

Expected goals through the game

Red WingsJetsCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish. Shots at an empty net add no step.

Shot map

Jets shooting ←→ Red Wings shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Ben Chiarot: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 9:28)Albert Johansson: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 12:24)Lucas Raymond: missed, 0.00 xG (P3 18:15)Tyrel Bauer: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 7:26)Albert Johansson: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 7:28)Moritz Seider: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 19:19)J.T. Compher: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 3:08)Neal Pionk: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 11:35)Justin Faulk: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 15:25)Albert Johansson: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 8:19)Andrew Copp: missed, 0.01 xG (P2 0:31)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 10:17)Neal Pionk: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 9:07)Andrew Copp: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 1:13)Dylan DeMelo: missed, 0.02 xG (P1 4:56)J.T. Compher: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 8:50)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 4:23)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.03 xG, high danger (P3 9:27)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 4:53)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 4:28)Neal Pionk: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 2:53)Alex Iafallo: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 17:47)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.03 xG, high danger (P1 1:31)Alex DeBrincat: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 3:43)Andrew Copp: missed, 0.03 xG (P3 5:22)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 10:46)Neal Pionk: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 3:21)Viktor Arvidsson: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 1:12)Ben Chiarot: missed, 0.03 xG (P2 7:51)Michael Rasmussen: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P1 17:02)Michael Rasmussen: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 7:48)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 14:43)Lucas Raymond: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 16:11)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 3:37)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 7:13)Kyle Connor: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 16:56)Nate Danielson: missed, 0.04 xG, high danger (P3 11:51)Lucas Raymond: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 18:55)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 9:30)Moritz Seider: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P1 19:58)Viggo Björck: shot on goal, 0.04 xG, high danger (P1 9:20)J.T. Compher: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 10:36)Justin Faulk: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 19:32)Moritz Seider: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 18:02)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.04 xG, high danger (P1 4:29)Moritz Seider: missed, 0.05 xG (P2 18:52)Viktor Arvidsson: shot on goal, 0.05 xG, high danger (P1 1:45)Andrew Copp: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 9:07)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 18:00)Brad Lambert: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 7:04)Justin Faulk: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 8:14)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.05 xG, high danger (P1 8:16)Emmitt Finnie: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P3 8:29)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.05 xG (P1 12:14)Brad Lambert: shot on goal, 0.06 xG, high danger (P3 6:59)Kyle Connor: missed, 0.06 xG, high danger (P2 17:13)Lucas Raymond: shot on goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P3 19:34)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 19:40)Kyle Connor: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 10:12)Michael Rasmussen: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 12:19)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 19:33)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 5:33)Mark Scheifele: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 12:45)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.07 xG, high danger (P2 3:06)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P1 19:10)Michael Rasmussen: missed, 0.08 xG, high danger (P1 17:06)Michael Rasmussen: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 11:31)Kyle Connor: goal, 0.09 xG (P1 14:36)Alex Iafallo: missed, 0.09 xG, high danger (P1 10:19)Josh Morrissey: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 5:38)Cole Perfetti: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 3:44)Axel Sandin-Pellikka: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 19:52)Gabriel Vilardi: missed, 0.09 xG (P3 10:21)Kyle Connor: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P3 11:32)Alex DeBrincat: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 1:17)Justin Faulk: missed, 0.10 xG, high danger (P2 15:27)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (P3 15:51)Viktor Arvidsson: missed, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 5:08)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.11 xG (P1 8:00)Morgan Barron: shot on goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P2 11:32)Kyle Connor: missed, 0.11 xG, high danger (P2 17:12)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.11 xG, high danger (P1 8:21)Kyle Connor: shot on goal, 0.11 xG (P2 3:18)Gabriel Vilardi: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 12:55)Cole Perfetti: goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P1 13:04)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: shot on goal, 0.12 xG, high danger (P2 7:45)Gabriel Vilardi: shot on goal, 0.12 xG (P1 12:20)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.13 xG (P3 0:48)Alex DeBrincat: missed, 0.13 xG (P2 16:00)Lucas Raymond: missed, 0.13 xG (P3 15:30)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.15 xG, high danger (P2 19:42)Moritz Seider: shot on goal, 0.15 xG (P2 15:54)Kyle Connor: goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P2 5:41)Mark Scheifele: shot on goal, 0.15 xG, high danger (P1 4:30)Viktor Arvidsson: shot on goal, 0.17 xG, high danger (P1 1:32)Vladislav Namestnikov: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P2 1:32)Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: missed, 0.20 xG, high danger (P3 4:53)Viktor Arvidsson: goal, 0.37 xG, high danger (P2 16:52)Emmitt Finnie: goal, 0.37 xG, high danger (P3 4:56)Cole Perfetti: missed, 0.60 xG (P3 18:42)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from DET's point of view
DET at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 543:0253–332.52–1.671–0
Power play9:4215–131.23–0.911–3
Shorthanded5:081–60.00–0.190–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)2:089–10.37–0.600–0

Read pairs as DET–WPG. “Power play” means DET had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Stuart Skinner WPG34/36.9444.13+2.13
John Gibson DET24/27.8892.77-0.23

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingRed Wings6.4Jets5.6

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Kyle ConnorFWPG8.721520:0548.6
★Top three of the night: Josh MorrisseyDWPG7.902721:3350.0
★Top three of the night: Cole PerfettiFWPG7.912217:1048.5
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdFDET7.701619:3361.8
Stuart SkinnerGWPG7.600—60:00—
Emmitt FinnieFDET7.510216:5665.5
Alex DeBrincatFDET7.401423:1657.1
Andrew CoppFDET7.001123:4458.6
Moritz SeiderDDET7.001325:4155.2
Viktor ArvidssonFDET6.910321:2454.3
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDDET6.800315:3766.7
Ben ChiarotDDET6.700117:2366.7
Michael RasmussenFDET6.600416:0973.7
Andreas EnglundDDET6.10007:1581.8
Justin FaulkDDET6.100319:3259.3
J.T. CompherFDET6.000212:5176.5
Anton JohanssonDDET5.900013:3065.0
Gabriel VilardiFWPG5.901214:4131.6
Keegan KolesarFDET5.700010:4972.7
Lucas RaymondFDET5.700223:5559.3
John GibsonGDET5.700—57:11—
Brad LambertFWPG5.400210:2737.5
Mason AppletonFDET5.40009:2357.1
Albert JohanssonDDET5.400112:3740.0
Tyrel BauerDWPG5.30008:3533.3
Neal PionkDWPG5.200323:5336.4
Alex IafalloFWPG5.100111:4428.6
Nate DanielsonFDET5.10008:0941.7
Mario FerraroDWPG5.000020:1742.9
Mark ScheifeleFWPG5.000218:0645.7
Adam LowryFWPG4.900015:1741.2
Isak RosenFWPG4.900012:5438.9
Nino NiederreiterFWPG4.900011:1530.8
Viggo BjörckFWPG4.800113:2133.3
Morgan BarronFWPG4.600117:4627.3
Vladislav NamestnikovFWPG4.600113:0931.3
Dylan SambergDWPG4.500019:5026.7
Dylan DeMeloDWPG4.200020:5337.1

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Red Wings

Forward lines

  • Copp – DeBrincat – Raymond7:48 · 10–7 · xG 0.3–0.4
  • Compher – Kolesar – Rasmussen6:49 · 8–3 · xG 0.2–0.1
  • Arvidsson – Finnie – Brandsegg-Nygård6:33 · 11–6 · xG 0.6–0.2

Defence pairs

  • Seider – Johansson9:32 · 8–10 · xG 0.2–0.5
  • Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka8:26 · 15–8 · xG 1.0–0.4
  • Faulk – Johansson8:14 · 11–6 · xG 0.6–0.5

Jets

Forward lines

  • Scheifele – Connor – Perfetti11:07 · 16–15 · xG 1.0–1.1
  • Lowry – Barron – Lambert8:45 · 6–9 · xG 0.2–0.2
  • Vilardi – Rosen – Björck8:30 · 5–10 · xG 0.2–0.5
  • Niederreiter – Namestnikov – Iafallo6:59 · 3–9 · xG 0.0–0.1

Defence pairs

  • DeMelo – Morrissey12:23 · 11–17 · xG 0.8–0.8
  • Samberg – Pionk12:17 · 5–18 · xG 0.3–0.5
  • Ferraro – Bauer7:20 · 4–8 · xG 0.0–0.3

Three stars

  1. ★K. ConnorWPG · 2G 1A
  2. ★★C. PerfettiWPG · 1G 2A
  3. ★★★V. ArvidssonDET · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 1

  • 13:04WPG C. Perfetti pp (from K. Connor, J. Morrissey)1–0
  • 14:36WPG K. Connor pp (from G. Vilardi, C. Perfetti)2–0

Period 2

  • 05:41WPG K. Connor pp (from J. Morrissey, C. Perfetti)3–0
  • 16:52DET V. Arvidsson pp (from A. Copp, M. Seider)3–1

Period 3

  • 04:56DET E. Finnie (from M. Brandsegg-Nygård, A. DeBrincat)3–2