Final
NSH at TOR game report
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs beat the Predators 5–4 in overtime and earned it, out-chancing them 4.2–3.2 in expected goals and 19–13 in high-danger chances.
- Came back from 3 down
Team comparison
- 5Goals4
- 4.21Expected goals3.20
- 2.495-on-5 expected goals2.13
- 19High-danger chances13
- 37Shots on goal25
- 72Shot attempts52
- 565-on-5 shot attempts38
- 5:32Power-play time1:42
5-on-5 shares for TOR: 59.6% of shot attempts, 53.9% of expected goals.
Expected goals through the game
Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.
Shot map
By strength
| TOR at… | Time | Attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 on 5 | 52:44 | 56–38 | 2.49–2.13 | 3–3 |
| Power play | 5:32 | 8–9 | 0.89–0.87 | 1–1 |
| Shorthanded | 1:42 | 0–0 | 0.00–0.00 | 0–0 |
| Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net) | 4:48 | 8–5 | 0.84–0.21 | 1–0 |
Read pairs as TOR–NSH. “Power play” means TOR had the extra skater.
Goaltending
| Goalie | Saves | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros NSH | 32/37 | .865 | 4.21 | -0.79 |
| Anthony Stolarz TOR | 21/25 | .840 | 3.20 | -0.80 |
GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.
Player ratings
Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work
Average ratingMaple Leafs6.6Predators5.7
| ★Top three of the night: Auston MatthewsFTOR | 9.3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25:09 | 53.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★Top three of the night: William NylanderFTOR | 9.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22:48 | 61.1 |
| ★Top three of the night: Gavin McKennaFTOR | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14:45 | 60.0 |
| Jack RoslovicFTOR | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17:46 | 58.3 |
| John TavaresFTOR | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:46 | 63.6 |
| Nils HoglanderFNSH | 7.8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 50.0 |
| Steven StamkosFNSH | 7.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 44.4 |
| Filip ForsbergFNSH | 7.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21:00 | 40.6 |
| Chris TanevDTOR | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 65.4 |
| Kirill MarchenkoFTOR | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21:35 | 50.0 |
| Matthew WoodFNSH | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:54 | 46.7 |
| Darren RaddyshDTOR | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:51 | 64.1 |
| Jake McCabeDTOR | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:59 | 64.3 |
| Brandon DuhaimeFTOR | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 71.4 |
| Morgan RiellyDTOR | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:39 | 61.5 |
| Brady SkjeiDNSH | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:53 | 48.6 |
| Adam WilsbyDNSH | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:05 | 34.8 |
| Ryan O'ReillyFNSH | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24:13 | 42.9 |
| Mavrik BourqueFNSH | 6.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:48 | 39.5 |
| Colton SissonsFTOR | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 61.1 |
| Easton CowanFTOR | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 54.5 |
| Teddy BluegerFTOR | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 61.1 |
| Bo GroulxFTOR | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:31 | 72.7 |
| Troy StecherDTOR | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 50.0 |
| Roman JosiDNSH | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27:06 | 33.3 |
| Adam EdstromFNSH | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:38 | 41.7 |
| Oliver Ekman-LarssonDTOR | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 52.0 |
| Jack AhcanDNSH | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 36.4 |
| Nick PerbixDNSH | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:49 | 48.5 |
| Juuse SarosGNSH | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 64:35 | — |
| Anthony StolarzGTOR | 5.3 | 0 | 1 | — | 64:46 | — |
| Nick PaulFTOR | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 57.1 |
| Alexander KerfootFNSH | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 52.0 |
| William TrudeauDNSH | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 36.8 |
| Nicolas HagueDNSH | 4.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 36.4 |
| Jack DruryFNSH | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 35.0 |
| Jonathan MarchessaultFNSH | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 33.3 |
| Ross ColtonFNSH | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 28.6 |
Lines used
Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against
Maple Leafs
Forward lines
- Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko8:39 · 6–7 · xG 0.2–0.2
- Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx5:45 · 7–3 · xG 0.2–0.1
- Tavares – Nylander – McKenna5:22 · 9–6 · xG 0.4–0.5
- Sissons – Paul – Cowan4:38 · 6–2 · xG 0.3–0.1
Defence pairs
- Tanev – McCabe16:14 · 14–9 · xG 0.6–0.8
- Rielly – Raddysh16:11 · 21–13 · xG 0.8–0.6
- Ekman-Larsson – Stecher14:59 · 12–12 · xG 0.7–0.7
Predators
Forward lines
- Forsberg – Hoglander – Wood8:27 · 5–8 · xG 0.4–0.7
- Marchessault – Colton – Bourque6:03 · 4–12 · xG 0.2–0.4
- Stamkos – O'Reilly – Kerfoot5:57 · 4–3 · xG 0.2–0.0
Defence pairs
- Skjei – Perbix15:25 · 14–14 · xG 0.9–0.6
- Josi – Hague14:02 · 10–17 · xG 0.3–0.7
- Wilsby – Trudeau8:15 · 7–11 · xG 0.5–0.6
Three stars
- ★G. McKennaTOR · 1G 1A
- ★★A. MatthewsTOR · 1G 3A
- ★★★W. NylanderTOR · 1G 2A
Scoring
Period 1
- 07:13NSH S. Stamkos pp (from M. Wood, R. Josi)1–0
- 09:08NSH N. Hoglander (from A. Wilsby, F. Forsberg)2–0
Period 2
- 03:03NSH N. Hoglander (from F. Forsberg, M. Bourque)3–0
- 04:56TOR J. Tavares (from G. McKenna, A. Stolarz)3–1
- 06:58TOR W. Nylander pp (from A. Matthews, K. Marchenko)3–2
- 13:30NSH S. Stamkos (from R. O'Reilly, B. Skjei)4–2
- 14:31TOR G. McKenna (from A. Matthews, J. Roslovic)4–3
Period 3
- 08:54TOR J. Roslovic (from A. Matthews, W. Nylander)4–4
Overtime
- 04:46TOR A. Matthews (from W. Nylander)4–5