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Final

MIN at BUF game report

Wild
2–3
Sabres

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · KeyBank Center

Sabres beat the Wild 3–2 in overtime and earned it, out-chancing them 4.3–1.9 in expected goals and 15–5 in high-danger chances.

  • Came back from 2 down

Team comparison

BUFMIN
  • 3Goals2
  • 4.27Expected goals1.86
  • 2.625-on-5 expected goals1.20
  • 15High-danger chances5
  • 28Shots on goal20
  • 64Shot attempts48
  • 475-on-5 shot attempts38
  • 4:15Power-play time7:19

5-on-5 shares for BUF: 55.3% of shot attempts, 68.6% of expected goals.

Expected goals through the game

SabresWildCircles mark goals

Each step is a shot; the bigger the step, the better the chance. A goal on a small step was a low-percentage finish.

Shot map

Wild shooting ←→ Sabres shootingBigger dot = better chance · filled = goal · blocked shots not shown
Ryan McLeod: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 18:44)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 6:34)Blake Coleman: missed, 0.00 xG (P3 15:39)Kirill Kaprizov: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 2:00)Marcus Foligno: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 0:35)Jonas Brodin: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P3 8:54)Mattias Samuelsson: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P2 1:19)Owen Power: shot on goal, 0.00 xG (P1 0:14)Mattias Samuelsson: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 3:06)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P2 10:08)Louis Crevier: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P3 11:25)Bobby Brink: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 7:23)Mattias Samuelsson: shot on goal, 0.01 xG (P1 7:53)Owen Power: missed, 0.01 xG (P3 18:28)Jared Spurgeon: missed, 0.01 xG (P1 16:32)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 14:37)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P2 1:13)Louis Crevier: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P1 15:43)Josh Doan: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 1:17)Kirill Kaprizov: shot on goal, 0.02 xG (P3 7:44)Quinn Hughes: missed, 0.02 xG (P2 5:24)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P2 19:48)Josh Norris: missed, 0.03 xG (P1 10:59)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.03 xG (P3 4:42)Ryan McLeod: missed, 0.04 xG, high danger (P3 18:19)Rasmus Dahlin: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P3 17:26)Jared Spurgeon: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 14:20)Daemon Hunt: missed, 0.04 xG (P1 16:19)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.04 xG (P2 12:15)Peyton Krebs: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 6:43)Quinn Hughes: missed, 0.04 xG (P3 14:29)Danila Yurov: goal, 0.05 xG (P2 13:53)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.05 xG (P2 5:12)Tage Thompson: missed, 0.05 xG (POT 4:16)Noah Ostlund: missed, 0.06 xG (P2 11:27)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.06 xG (P2 5:16)Louis Crevier: missed, 0.06 xG (P1 12:07)Mattias Samuelsson: missed, 0.06 xG (P1 4:00)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P2 18:05)Beck Malenstyn: missed, 0.07 xG (P2 3:21)Jack Quinn: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (P3 13:25)Quinn Hughes: missed, 0.07 xG (P3 2:27)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.07 xG (POT 1:25)Joel Eriksson Ek: missed, 0.08 xG (P1 11:12)Jiri Kulich: shot on goal, 0.08 xG, high danger (P3 19:00)Quinn Hughes: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P2 15:16)Bobby Brink: shot on goal, 0.08 xG (P1 7:33)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (POT 2:10)Zach Benson: shot on goal, 0.09 xG (P2 8:38)Blake Coleman: shot on goal, 0.09 xG, high danger (P2 14:39)Danila Yurov: shot on goal, 0.10 xG (POT 2:30)Kirill Kaprizov: shot on goal, 0.10 xG, high danger (P1 16:40)Bobby Brink: missed, 0.11 xG, high danger (P3 10:51)Owen Power: goal, 0.12 xG (POT 4:22)Tage Thompson: goal, 0.12 xG (P3 9:38)Owen Power: missed, 0.12 xG (P3 3:31)Maxim Shabanov: goal, 0.13 xG (P2 15:38)Owen Power: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P3 15:06)Bobby Brink: missed, 0.13 xG (P2 9:16)Josh Norris: missed, 0.13 xG, high danger (P2 12:16)Zach Benson: missed, 0.14 xG, high danger (P1 5:22)Jack Quinn: shot on goal, 0.14 xG, high danger (P3 13:26)Peyton Krebs: shot on goal, 0.14 xG (P2 18:01)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.15 xG (P3 16:30)Zach Benson: missed, 0.15 xG, high danger (P3 3:20)Jiri Kulich: shot on goal, 0.15 xG (POT 0:55)Noah Ostlund: goal, 0.16 xG, high danger (P3 3:55)Josh Norris: missed, 0.17 xG, high danger (P1 10:58)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.18 xG, high danger (P3 19:09)Maxim Shabanov: shot on goal, 0.19 xG, high danger (P1 10:27)Noah Ostlund: shot on goal, 0.21 xG, high danger (P2 16:38)Tage Thompson: missed, 0.21 xG, high danger (P2 1:22)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.22 xG, high danger (POT 2:00)Matt Boldy: shot on goal, 0.24 xG, high danger (POT 0:44)Tage Thompson: shot on goal, 0.27 xG, high danger (P3 19:08)Zach Benson: shot on goal, 0.35 xG, high danger (POT 3:14)

By strength

Time, shot attempts, expected goals and goals by strength, from BUF's point of view
BUF at…TimeAttemptsxGGoals
5 on 548:2647–382.62–1.202–1
Power play4:153–70.32–0.250–1
Shorthanded7:196–00.35–0.000–0
Other (4 on 4, 3 on 3, empty net)4:228–30.97–0.411–0

Read pairs as BUF–MIN. “Power play” means BUF had the extra skater.

Goaltending

Goalie results with expected goals against
GoalieSavesSV%xGAGSAx
Jesper Wallstedt MIN25/28.8934.27+1.27
Colten Ellis BUF18/20.9001.86-0.14

GSAx above zero means the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have, given the shots faced.

Player ratings

Out of 10, from each player's Game Score (goals, assists, shots, blocks, penalties, faceoffs and 5-on-5 shot and goal differential while on the ice) compared with every NHL game of the last two seasons. 6 is above average, 7 very good, 8 excellent. Goalies are rated on goals saved above expected. ★ = top three of the night. How ratings work

Average ratingSabres6.2Wild5.7

Player ratings for both teams. Select a column heading to sort.
★Top three of the night: Owen PowerDBUF8.811229:0461.7
★Top three of the night: Tage ThompsonFBUF7.911920:2345.2
★Top three of the night: Quinn HughesDMIN7.301129:3062.8
Maxim ShabanovFMIN7.210217:3052.9
Rasmus DahlinDBUF7.101329:1555.8
Jiri KulichFBUF7.101213:5658.8
Noah OstlundFBUF7.010220:3950.0
Jared SpurgeonDMIN6.901021:4967.9
Danila YurovFMIN6.910214:2160.0
Jesper WallstedtGMIN6.900—64:22—
Peyton KrebsFBUF6.501115:2150.0
Matt BoldyFMIN6.400723:2458.3
Mattias SamuelssonDBUF6.300222:4158.1
Blake ColemanFMIN6.201117:4447.8
Michael McCarronFMIN6.201015:1636.8
Zach BensonFBUF6.100220:4164.0
Konsta HeleniusFBUF6.100013:0181.3
Josh NorrisFBUF6.000016:4458.6
Kirill KaprizovFMIN5.900324:5855.2
Jack QuinnFBUF5.900221:4550.0
Ryan McLeodFBUF5.900114:1571.4
Olen ZellwegerDBUF5.700014:5262.5
Colten EllisGBUF5.700—64:22—
Joel Eriksson EkFMIN5.600020:2657.1
Justin DanforthFBUF5.50008:17100.0
Louis CrevierDBUF5.500214:1950.0
Beck MalenstynFBUF5.00008:2860.0
Nick FolignoFMIN5.00003:2933.3
Zach BogosianDMIN5.000014:1228.6
Bobby BrinkFMIN5.000213:3442.9
Daemon HuntDMIN4.900014:0828.6
Marcus FolignoFMIN4.800113:2525.0
Josh DoanFBUF4.800012:0541.7
Zach MetsaDBUF4.800010:4426.7
Yakov TreninFMIN4.700013:0430.4
Ryan HartmanFMIN4.600013:4037.9
Jonas BrodinDMIN4.300119:1831.4
Olli MaattaDMIN4.000019:1827.0

Lines used

Each team's most-used forward lines and defence pairs at 5 on 5, from the NHL's shift charts · time together · shot attempts for–against · expected goals for–against

Sabres

Forward lines

  • Quinn – Ostlund – Benson11:51 · 12–7 · xG 0.8–0.3
  • Thompson – Norris – Doan6:46 · 8–11 · xG 0.4–0.4
  • Krebs – Kulich – Helenius4:32 · 4–1 · xG 0.0–0.0
  • Malenstyn – Danforth – McLeod3:59 · 3–0 · xG 0.1–0.0

Defence pairs

  • Samuelsson – Dahlin10:09 · 7–8 · xG 0.3–0.4
  • Power – Zellweger7:31 · 7–2 · xG 0.5–0.1
  • Crevier – Metsa4:47 · 3–5 · xG 0.1–0.1

Wild

Forward lines

  • Kaprizov – Yurov – Shabanov7:57 · 4–5 · xG 0.2–0.2
  • Foligno – McCarron – Trenin6:38 · 3–5 · xG 0.0–0.2
  • Coleman – Eriksson Ek – Boldy6:01 · 3–3 · xG 0.1–0.1

Defence pairs

  • Spurgeon – Hughes15:40 · 17–9 · xG 0.6–0.4
  • Brodin – Maatta13:49 · 6–22 · xG 0.3–1.0
  • Bogosian – Hunt11:00 · 3–6 · xG 0.1–0.3

Three stars

  1. ★O. PowerBUF · 1G 1A
  2. ★★T. ThompsonBUF · 1G 1A
  3. ★★★N. OstlundBUF · 1G 0A

Scoring

Period 2

  • 13:53MIN D. Yurov pp (from J. Spurgeon, B. Coleman)1–0
  • 15:38MIN M. Shabanov (from Q. Hughes, M. McCarron)2–0

Period 3

  • 03:55BUF N. Ostlund (from O. Power, R. Dahlin)2–1
  • 09:38BUF T. Thompson (from P. Krebs)2–2

Overtime

  • 04:22BUF O. Power (from J.Kulich, T. Thompson)2–3