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HockeyWeights

Shooting vs Career

2026-27

Who's scoring more than usual on his shots this season, and who's due: goals above or below what his own career shooting % would give on the same shots. Pick a player to chart his career.


Evan Bouchard has 3.1 goals more than his career rate gives; Matt Boldy is 2.1 goals behind his.

Some clubs have played only 2 games, so these numbers will move a lot.

How it's worked out →

Evan Bouchard Edmonton Oilers

This season 30.8% · Career 7.0% · +3.1 goals vs career rate

Shooting % in each NHL regular season. Green above his career average (the dashed line), red below; the big dot is 2026-27.

0%10%20%30%Career 7.0%18-1920-2121-2222-2323-2424-2525-2626-2718-19: 10.0%, 1 goal on 10 shots20-21: 5.3%, 2 goals on 38 shots21-22: 5.9%, 12 goals on 205 shots22-23: 5.1%, 8 goals on 156 shots23-24: 8.2%, 18 goals on 220 shots24-25: 6.0%, 14 goals on 235 shots25-26: 9.5%, 21 goals on 221 shots2026-27 (this season): 30.8%, 4 goals on 13 shots
Show as table
SeasonGSSh%
18-1911010.0%
20-212385.3%
21-22122055.9%
22-2381565.1%
23-24182208.2%
24-25142356.0%
25-26212219.5%
2026-27 (this season)41330.8%

Every shooter

Pick a name to chart his career.

516 skatersSorted by goals vs career, highest first
#PlayerPos
1 Edmonton OilersD341330.87.0+3.10.7+3.3
2 Vancouver CanucksLW44757.113.9+3.00.9+3.1
3 Vegas Golden KnightsLW44944.412.8+2.90.9+3.1
4 Utah MammothC451729.414.0+2.62.3+2.7
5 Nashville PredatorsLW33475.011.6+2.50.4+2.6
6 Colorado AvalancheLW23560.011.6+2.40.8+2.2
7 Montreal CanadiensRW33560.013.9+2.30.7+2.3
8 New York RangersRW53650.012.0+2.31.7+1.3
9 Ottawa SenatorsC33742.914.0+2.01.0+2.0
10 Vancouver CanucksC43742.914.7+2.00.8+2.2
11 Toronto Maple LeafsRW43933.313.5+1.82.1+0.9
12 Carolina HurricanesC441526.715.0+1.81.6+2.4
13 Nashville PredatorsC33837.516.8+1.71.9+1.1
14 Edmonton OilersRW331323.110.5+1.62.1+0.9
15 Ottawa SenatorsRW32366.712.8+1.60.7+1.3
16 Dallas StarsD32825.05.4+1.60.6+1.4
17 Minnesota WildLW33933.316.5+1.52.3+0.7
18 New York RangersLW531127.313.7+1.52.7+0.3
19 Seattle KrakenRW32633.39.0+1.50.8+1.2
20 Colorado AvalancheC22540.011.9+1.40.8+1.2
21 Florida PanthersC42633.310.7+1.41.0+1.0
22 Washington CapitalsRW22540.013.0+1.41.1+0.9
23 San Jose SharksC32540.014.3+1.31.1+0.9
24 Pittsburgh PenguinsC32540.014.3+1.30.6+1.4
25 Pittsburgh PenguinsLW32633.312.5+1.30.5+1.5
26 New Jersey DevilsRW32922.28.4+1.21.3+0.7
27 St. Louis BluesRW32633.312.6+1.20.6+1.4
28 New York RangersRW52540.015.4+1.21.3+0.7
29 Detroit Red WingsLW32728.611.2+1.21.1+0.9
30 Pittsburgh PenguinsC22728.611.3+1.20.8+1.2
31 Columbus Blue JacketsLW22540.016.3+1.20.7+1.3
32 Carolina HurricanesLW42825.010.4+1.20.9+1.1
33 Ottawa SenatorsRW32633.313.9+1.20.9+1.1
34 Vegas Golden KnightsC42825.010.9+1.10.7+1.3
35 Florida PanthersLW42728.612.8+1.11.2+0.8
36 Seattle KrakenRW42728.612.9+1.11.5+0.5
37 Vegas Golden KnightsC431421.413.7+1.13.7−0.7
38 New York RangersRW52825.011.6+1.10.7+1.3
39 Pittsburgh PenguinsC32728.613.5+1.10.7+1.3
40 St. Louis BluesC32825.012.2+1.01.1+0.9
41 Montreal CanadiensRW32728.614.2+1.00.6+1.4
42 Colorado AvalancheC22825.013.1+1.00.7+1.3
43 Vancouver CanucksD411100.05.5+0.90.1+0.9
44 Edmonton OilersC32728.615.1+0.91.3+0.7
45 Winnipeg JetsD31250.03.0+0.90.1+0.9
46 Boston BruinsRW42825.013.4+0.91.2+0.8
47 Edmonton OilersD311100.08.3+0.90.2+0.8
48 Anaheim DucksLW21250.04.5+0.90.1+0.9
49 Vancouver CanucksC42728.615.8+0.90.7+1.3
50 Los Angeles KingsD31333.33.6+0.90.2+0.8

Goals vs career = goals minus shots × his career shooting %. Career = every NHL regular season before this one, all teams. Skaters under 50 career shots (most rookies) have no fair baseline and aren't listed. Shooting % swings a lot over short stretches and drifts back toward a player's norm, which is why a cold start often means “due”. Shootouts don't count.